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Visits to Key Early States
Through 4th Q 2015 (Dec. 31, 2015)
| Iowa |
New
Hampshire |
South
Carolina |
|||||
| Nov. 7, 2012- Dec. 31, 2015 |
R |
318 visits 580 days |
313 visits 540 days |
159 visits 210 days |
|||
| D |
90 visits 169 days |
112 visits 135 days |
24 visits 28 days |
REPUBLICANS | DEMOCRATS
This Page is Currently Under Development
(Dec. 31, 2015) - The 4th Quarter saw three more major Republican candidates bow out (Jindal on Nov. 17, Graham on Dec. 21 and Pataki on Dec. 29). At the time of their exits Jindal was the leading Iowa visitor and Graham was the leading NH visitor. Travel to these three early states was down from the 3rd Quarter (busy summer) was a very busy time for the presidential candidates in the early states. Overall since Nov. 7, 2012, potential, active and former Republican candidates have spent over a thousand days in these three early states1, or a bit more than four times as many days as the Democrats. In terms of total number of visits, the Republican three-state tally of 633.5 is 3.64 times that of the 174 visits by Democrats. For the 4th Quarter in these three states, XX major Republicans tallied XX visits and XX days compared to XX visits and XX days for the five active major Democrats plus potential candidate Biden, who was not active (3.03 times as many visits and 3.65 times as many days). Republican activists in these states thus have a lot more opportunities to see one of their candidates than do Democrats.
1. Due to limited resources this tally does not include visits to Nevada, but one can still get a sense of the level of traffic. Because Nevada is the third Democratic contest one would expect significantly more Democratic traffic than is going to South Carolina but still far less than Iowa and New Hampshire.
Comparison of Visits and Days by Rep. and Dem. Presidential Candidates to Early States of IA, NH and SC
REPUBLICANS - 4TH QUARTER 2015
The number of visits and days spent in these three early states by Republican prospects continued to increase. From the 1st Quarter 2015 to the 2nd Quarter to the 3rd Quarter total visits went from 80 to 176.5 to 217 and days from 124 to 271 to 413. The most active Republicans in terms of days spent in these three early states in the 3rd Quarter 2015 (July 1- Sept. 30) were Jindal (46 total days), Graham (37 total days) and Fiorina (36 total days). Doing the least travel to these three states in this period were Gilmore (4 total days), Pataki and Trump (14 total days each) and Cruz (16 total days).
This Page is Currently Under Development
(Dec. 31, 2015) - The 4th Quarter saw three more major Republican candidates bow out (Jindal on Nov. 17, Graham on Dec. 21 and Pataki on Dec. 29). At the time of their exits Jindal was the leading Iowa visitor and Graham was the leading NH visitor. Travel to these three early states was down from the 3rd Quarter (busy summer) was a very busy time for the presidential candidates in the early states. Overall since Nov. 7, 2012, potential, active and former Republican candidates have spent over a thousand days in these three early states1, or a bit more than four times as many days as the Democrats. In terms of total number of visits, the Republican three-state tally of 633.5 is 3.64 times that of the 174 visits by Democrats. For the 4th Quarter in these three states, XX major Republicans tallied XX visits and XX days compared to XX visits and XX days for the five active major Democrats plus potential candidate Biden, who was not active (3.03 times as many visits and 3.65 times as many days). Republican activists in these states thus have a lot more opportunities to see one of their candidates than do Democrats.
1. Due to limited resources this tally does not include visits to Nevada, but one can still get a sense of the level of traffic. Because Nevada is the third Democratic contest one would expect significantly more Democratic traffic than is going to South Carolina but still far less than Iowa and New Hampshire.
Comparison of Visits and Days by Rep. and Dem. Presidential Candidates to Early States of IA, NH and SC
| IA-Visits |
IA-Days |
NH-Visits |
NH-Days |
SC-Visits |
SC-Days |
Total
Visits |
Total Days |
|
| Republicans |
318 |
580 |
313 |
540 |
159 |
210 |
633.5 |
1,014 |
| Democrats |
90 |
169 |
112 |
135 |
24 |
28 |
174 |
247 |
| Ratio R:D |
3.53 |
3.43 |
2.79 |
4.00 |
6.63 |
7.5 |
3.64 |
4.11 |
REPUBLICANS - 4TH QUARTER 2015
The number of visits and days spent in these three early states by Republican prospects continued to increase. From the 1st Quarter 2015 to the 2nd Quarter to the 3rd Quarter total visits went from 80 to 176.5 to 217 and days from 124 to 271 to 413. The most active Republicans in terms of days spent in these three early states in the 3rd Quarter 2015 (July 1- Sept. 30) were Jindal (46 total days), Graham (37 total days) and Fiorina (36 total days). Doing the least travel to these three states in this period were Gilmore (4 total days), Pataki and Trump (14 total days each) and Cruz (16 total days).
| IA-Visits |
IA-Days |
NH-Visits |
NH-Days |
SC-Visits |
SC-Days |
Total
Visits |
Total Days |
|
| Bush |
4 |
7 |
8 |
18 |
||||
| Carson |
7 |
9 |
2 |
3 |
||||
| Christie | 5 |
10 |
8 |
18 |
||||
| Cruz | 7 |
13 |
4 |
6 |
||||
| Fiorina |
6 |
19 |
4 |
12 |
||||
| Gilmore |
- |
- |
5 |
11 |
||||
| Graham |
1 |
1 |
9 |
27 |
||||
| Huckabee | 8 |
18 |
1 |
1 |
||||
| Jindal | 5.5 |
19 |
- |
- |
||||
| Kasich |
3 |
5 |
11 |
23 |
||||
| Pataki | - |
- |
8 |
12 |
||||
| Paul |
5 |
11 |
5 |
8 |
||||
| Rubio | 9 |
15 |
7 |
11 |
||||
| Santorum | 6 |
20 |
2 |
3 |
||||
| Trump |
9 |
9 |
7 |
7 |
||||
| Total |
75.5 |
156 |
81 |
160 |
Perry
suspended his campaign on Sept. 11 and Walker suspended his campaign on
Sept. 21.
Jindal suspended his campaign on Nov. 17, Graham suspened his campaign on Dec. 21 and Pataki suspended his campaign on Dec. 29.
*Graham South Carolina visits not included; under consideration.
Santorum put the
most time into Iowa in the 4th Quarter, 20 days, followed by Fiorina
and Jindal at 19 days each and Huckabee at 18. (Jindal withdrew
on Nov 17
or he would have been the leader). At the
other extreme were Kasich at 5 days and Bush at 7 days.
Totals at End of the 4rd Quarter (Dec. 31, 2015)
Tally includes - 6 individuals mentioned but did not run: 11
visits, 12 days (Brown: 2 visits, 2 days; Portman 1 visit, 2 days; Ryan 3 visits, 3
days;Bolton 1 visit, 1 day; Pence: 1 visit, 1 day; Palin:
3
visits, 3 days) and 2 who ran/are running but minimal visits: Gilmore 1 visit, 1 day; Pataki 6
visits,
6 days.
Tally does not include - Mitt Romney 2 visits, 2 days. Does not include Gov. Scott Walker's non-political trip on Sept. 8, 2014.
Graham (27 days)
and Kasich (23 days) followed by Bush and Christie (18 days each) put
the most
time into New Hampshire in the 4th Quarter. At the
other extreme were Jindal (0), Huckabee (1), Carson and Santorum (3
days each); Cruz also did not spend much time here (6 days).
Totals at End of the 4th Quarter (Dec. 31, 2015)
Tally includes - 7 individuals mentioned but did not run 28
visits, 35 days (Portman 3 visits, 4 days; Huntsman 1 visit,
1 day; Ryan 1 visit, 1 day; Pence 1 visit, 1 day; Bolton (to 5/14/15) 4
visits, 6 days; King 9 visits, 11 days, Ehrlich 9 visits, 11 days. Note King reported 12 visits,
sought clarification repeatedly but they were very unresponsive.
Not
included in tally: Scarborough 2 visits, 3 days. Romney 2
visits, 2 days.
Huckabee put the most time
into South Carolina in the 3rd Quarter, doing events on nine
days. Many of the candidates settled in around four visits, six
days.
Totals at End of the 4th Quarter (Dec. 31, 2015)
Tally
includes:
Huntsman
1
visit,
1
day;
;
Bolton
2
visits,
2
days. Pataki
2
visits,
3
days. Gilmore 1 visit, 1 day.
Tally shows total visits with public events for 2013-15. Graham, being from SC, is not included in the tally. Private visits are not included in the tally. Santorum, who has two sons at The Citadel, visits the state fairly frequently. Rubio made a non-public visit on July 20, 2014. Jeb Bush's May 2013 visit for a closed meeting not included.
DEMOCRATS - 4TH QUARTER 2015
The three leading candidates, Clinton, Sanders and O'Malley have done similar amounts to travel to these three early states, with O'Malley doing a bit more. Travel to the three states by all major Democrats increased from 44 visits and 64 days in the 2nd Quarter to 72 visits and 113 days in the 3rd Quarter (increases of 45-percent and 77-percent). South Carolina is receiving neglible traffic. Chafee's New Hampshire focus is skewing those numbers; he accounted for 55-percent of visits in the quarter.
NEW HAMPSHIRE
The exit of frequent visitor Chafee has significantly reduced traffic.
includes: Dean 2 visits,
2
days; Klobuchar 1 visit, 1
day. Does not includ Lessig.
Jindal suspended his campaign on Nov. 17, Graham suspened his campaign on Dec. 21 and Pataki suspended his campaign on Dec. 29.
*Graham South Carolina visits not included; under consideration.
Carson: Oct. 2, Oct. 24 Christie: Oct. 21, Oct. 30-31 Cruz: Oct. 12-14, Oct. 23-24, Oct. 31 Fiorina: Oct. 15-17, Oct 30-(Nov. 2) Graham: Oct. 31 Huckabee: Oct. 13-15, Oct. 24, Oct 30-(Nov. 2) Jindal: (Sept. 26)-Oct. 1, Oct. 6-7, Oct. 9-15, Oct. 22-24, Oct. 29-31 Paul: Oct. 12-14, Oct. 30-31 Rubio: Oct. 1-2, Oct. 30-31 Santorum: Oct. 5-7, Oct. 13-14, Oct 29-(Nov. 2) Trump: Oct. 7, Oct. 21, Oct. 27 Total: 28 visits (63 days) 26 + (4 x .5) visits |
Carson: Nov. 20, Nov. 22 Christie: Nov. 11-13 Cruz: Nov. 6, Nov. 20, Nov. 28-30 Fiorina: (Oct. 30)-Nov. 2, Nov. 12-13, Nov. 20-23 Huckabee: (Oct. 30)-Nov. 2, Nov. 6, Nov. 19-20, Nov. 30(-Dec. 2) Jindal: Nov. 6-8 Kasich: Nov. 2-3, Nov. 30 Paul: Nov. 11-12, Nov. 20-21 Rubio: Nov. 11, Nov. 20-24**(22) Santorum: (Oct. 29)-Nov. 2, Nov. 18-20 Trump: Nov. 12, Nov. 19 Total: 23.5 visits (48 days) 21 + (5 x .5) visits |
Carson: Dec. 5, Dec. 11, Dec. 17-19, Christie: Dec. 4-5, Dec. 29-30 Cruz: Dec. 4-5 Fiorina: Dec. 5-8, Dec. 18-19 Huckabee: (Nov. 30-)Dec. 2, Dec. 17-18, Dec. 21-22. Kasich: Dec. 16-17 Paul: Dec. 4-5 Rubio: Dec. 10, Dec. 16, Dec. 17, Dec. 18, Dec. 29-30 Santorum: Dec. 4-8, Dec. 29-30 Trump: Dec. 5, Dec. 11, Dec. 19, Dec. 29 Total: 24 visits (45 days) 23 + (2 x.5) visits 4th
Q
15:
75.5
visits
(156
days).
|
Totals at End of the 4rd Quarter (Dec. 31, 2015)
| 2013-15 |
Bush |
Carson |
Christie |
Cruz |
Fiorina |
Graham |
Huckabee |
Jindal |
Kasich |
Paul |
Perry |
Rubio |
Santorum |
Trump |
Walker |
| Visits:
318 |
11 |
19 |
18 |
26 |
19 |
14 |
32 |
27 |
8 |
18 |
20 |
21 |
30 |
24 |
13 |
| Days:
580 |
18 |
31 |
27 |
41 |
49 |
24 |
56 |
75 |
10 |
33 |
41 |
33 |
74 |
27 |
22 |
Tally does not include - Mitt Romney 2 visits, 2 days. Does not include Gov. Scott Walker's non-political trip on Sept. 8, 2014.
___________________________
Republican
Visits
to
New
Hampshire
in
4th
Quarter
2015
Christie: Oct. 7-9, Oct. 12, Oct. 16 Cruz: Oct. 2-3, Oct. 9, Oct. 17 Fiorina: Oct. 3-5 Gilmore: Oct. 8-10, Oct. 16 Graham: Oct. 8-16, Oct. 22-24, Oct. 30 Huckabee: Oct. 16 Kasich: Oct. 2, Oct. 9, Oct. 12-15, Oct. 22-23 Pataki: Oct. 5-7, Oct. 12, Oct. 15-16, Oct. 23 Paul: Oct. 9, Oct. 16-18 Rubio: Oct. 6-7, Oct. 14 Santorum: Oct. 3 Trump: Oct. 12, Oct. 26 Total: 30 visits (60 days) |
Carson: Nov. 20 Christie: Nov. 5-7, Nov. 21-22, Nov. 30(-Dec. 1) Cruz: Nov. 11-12 Fiorina: Nov. 5-7, Nov. 16-18 Gilmore: Nov. 6-9 Graham: Nov. 4-5, Nov. 11-12, Nov. 20-23 Kasich: Nov. 5-6, Nov. 12-13, Nov. 20-21 Pataki: Nov. 6, Nov. 12-13, Nov. 19 Paul: Nov. 2, Nov. 13 Rubio: Nov. 4-5, Nov. 30 Santorum: Nov. 11-12 Trump: Nov. 4, Nov. 11 Total: 26.5 visits (53 days) |
Carson: Dec. 20-21 Christie: (Nov. 30-)Dec. 1, Dec. 11-12, Dec. 19-22 Fiorina: Dec. 9-11 Gilmore: Dec. 1-2, Dec. 8 Graham: Dec. 4-5, Dec. 10-11, Dec. 18-19 Kasich: Dec. 3-5, Dec. 10-11, Dec. 20-21, Dec. 28-29 Pataki: Dec. 4 Paul: Dec. 11-12 Rubio: Dec. 4, Dec. 16, Dec. 21-23 Trump: Dec. 1, Dec. 10, Dec. 28 Total: 24.5 visits (47 days) 4rd
Q
15:
81
visits
(160
days).
|
Totals at End of the 4th Quarter (Dec. 31, 2015)
| 2013-15 |
Bush |
Carson |
Christie |
Cruz |
Fiorina |
Gilmore | Graham |
Huckabee |
Jindal |
| Visits:
313 |
22 |
9 |
33 |
13 |
21 |
16 | 28 |
5 |
10 |
| Days:
540 |
40 |
13 |
61 |
22 |
49 |
31 | 66 |
5 |
13 |
| Kasich | Pataki | Paul | Perry | Rubio | Santorum | Trump |
Walker |
|
|
| 25 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 6 | 20 |
7 |
||
| 46 | 47 | 32 | 16 | 22 | 9 | 20 |
13 |
___________________________
Republican
Visits
to
South
Carolina
in
4th
Quarter
2015
Fiorina: Oct. 2, Oct. 23 Huckabee: Oct. 21-23 Rubio: Oct. 23-24 Trump: Oct. 19 Hurricane Joaquin brought flooding to SC in the early part of the month and limited visits. Total: 7 visits (11 days) |
Carson: Nov. 13, Nov. 21 Cruz: Nov. 14-16 Fiorina: Nov. 30(-Dec. 2) Gilmore: Nov. 11-12 Huckabee: Nov. 5 Kasich: Nov. 11, Nov. 19 Paul: Nov. 6 Rubio: Nov. 11-12, Nov. 25 Santorum: Nov. 28-30 Trump: Nov. 20, Nov. 24 Total: 16.5 visits (24 days) |
Carson: Christie: Cruz: Fiorina: Gilmore: Huckabee: Kasich: Paul: Rubio: Santorum: Trump: Total: visits ( days) [Graham: ] 4td
Q
15:
visits
(
days).
|
Totals at End of the 4th Quarter (Dec. 31, 2015)
| 2013-15 |
Bush |
Carson |
Christie |
Cruz |
Fiorina |
Huckabee |
Jindal |
Kasich |
Paul |
Perry |
Rubio |
Santorum |
Trump |
Walker |
| Visits:
159 |
9 |
10 |
6 |
15 |
7 |
15 |
9 |
8 |
13 |
14 |
9 |
22 |
8 |
8 |
| Days:
210 |
12 |
15 |
8 |
19 |
9 |
21 |
11 |
10 |
16 |
26 |
11 |
27 |
8 |
10 |
Tally shows total visits with public events for 2013-15. Graham, being from SC, is not included in the tally. Private visits are not included in the tally. Santorum, who has two sons at The Citadel, visits the state fairly frequently. Rubio made a non-public visit on July 20, 2014. Jeb Bush's May 2013 visit for a closed meeting not included.
DEMOCRATS - 4TH QUARTER 2015
The three leading candidates, Clinton, Sanders and O'Malley have done similar amounts to travel to these three early states, with O'Malley doing a bit more. Travel to the three states by all major Democrats increased from 44 visits and 64 days in the 2nd Quarter to 72 visits and 113 days in the 3rd Quarter (increases of 45-percent and 77-percent). South Carolina is receiving neglible traffic. Chafee's New Hampshire focus is skewing those numbers; he accounted for 55-percent of visits in the quarter.
| IA-Visits |
IA-Days |
NH-Visits |
NH-Days |
SC-Visits |
SC-Days |
Total
Visits |
Total Days |
|
| Chafee |
- |
- |
3 |
3 |
||||
| Clinton |
9 |
11 |
9 |
11 |
||||
| O'Malley | 7 |
16 |
7 |
13 |
||||
| Sanders | 6 |
14 |
8 |
10 |
||||
| Webb |
- |
- |
1 |
1 |
||||
| Total |
22 |
41 |
28 |
38 |
Lessig
not
included.
Webb
withdrew
on
Oct.
20,
2015;
Biden
ruled
out
a
bid
on Oct. 21, 2015;
Chafee withdrew on Oct. 23, 2015.
Democratic Visits
to Iowa in 4th
Quarter
2015
Clinton: Oct. 6-7, Oct. 24
O'Malley: Oct. 9, Oct. 24, Oct. 29-31 Sanders: Oct. 18-19, Oct. 23-24 Total: 7 visits (12 days) |
Clinton: Nov. 3, Nov.
14-15,
Nov. 22
O'Malley: Nov. 7, Nov 14-17 Sanders: Nov. 14-15 Total: 6 visits (11 days). |
Clinton: Dec. 4, Dec. 9,
Dec. 16, Dec. 22
O'Malley: Dec. 7-8, Dec. 27-30 Sanders: Dec. 12-13, Dec. 21-23, Dec. 29-31 Total: 9 visits (18 days). 4th
Q
15:
22
visits
(41
days).
|
O'Malley put the most time in Iowa in
the 4th
Quarter, Clinton made the most visits.
Totals
at End of
the 4th Quarter (Dec. 31, 2015)
| 2013-15 |
Chafee |
Clinton |
O'Malley |
Sanders |
Webb |
| Visits:
90 |
4 |
22 |
25 |
20 |
10 |
| Days:
169 |
9 |
32 |
52 |
46 |
20 |
Tally
includes:
Dean 1 visit 1
day; Klobuchar 3 visits 4
days; Schweitzer 1 visit 1
day. Biden 4 visits, 4
days.
___________________________
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Democratic Visits
to New Hampshire in 4th
Quarter
2015
Chafee: Oct. 4, Oct. 6,
Oct. 18
Clinton: Oct. 5, Oct. 16, Oct. 28-29 O'Malley: Oct. 4, Oct. 12, Oct. 16-17 Sanders: Oct. 12, Oct. 30-31 Webb: Oct. 12 Total: 12 visits (15 days) |
Clinton: Nov. 9-10, Nov. 29
O'Malley: Nov. 3-4, Nov. 22-23, Nov. 29-30 Sanders: Nov. 5, Nov. 11, Nov. 29 Total: 8 visits (12 days). |
Clinton: Dec. 3, Dec. 8,
Dec. 19, Dec. 29
O'Malley: Dec. 19-21 Sanders: Dec. 5, Dec. 14-15, Dec. 19 Total: 8 visits (11 days). 3rd
Q
15:
28
visits
(38
days).
|
Totals
at End of
the 4th Quarter (Dec. 31, 2015)
| 2013-15 |
Biden |
Chafee |
Clinton |
O'Malley |
Sanders |
Webb |
| Visits:
84 |
3 |
32 |
10 |
15 |
19 |
2 |
| Days:
97 |
3 |
32 |
15 |
18 |
23 |
3 |
___________________________
Democratic Visits
to South Carolina in 4th
Quarter
2015
Chafee:
Clinton: O'Malley: Sanders: Webb: Total: 11 visits (22 days) |
Chafee:
Clinton: O'Malley: Sanders: Webb: Total: 13 visits (25 days). |
Clinton:
O'Malley: Sanders: Webb: Total: 8 visits (16 days). 3rd
Q
15:
32
visits
(63
days).
|
South Carolina is seeing very little
Democratic traffic.
Totals
at End of
the 4th Quarter (Dec. 31, 2015)
| 2013-15 |
Biden |
Chafee |
Clinton |
O'Malley |
Sanders |
Webb |
| Visits:
24 |
5 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
6 |
2 |
| Days:
28 |
5 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
9 |
2 |
includes: Dean 1 visit 1
day; Klobuchar 3 visits 4
days; Schweitzer 1 visit 1 day
this page last revised Dec. 6,
2015
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Copyright © 2015
Eric M. Appleman/Democracy
in Action.
All rights reserved.