Visits to Key Early States Through 3rd Q 2015 (Sept. 30, 2015)

 


Iowa
New Hampshire
South Carolina
Nov. 7, 2012-
Sept. 30, 2015
 R
 242.5 visits
  424 days
232 visits
380 days
159 visits
210 days









D
 66 visits
122 days
84 visits
97 days
24 visits
28 days

Nov. 7, 2012-Nov. 4, 2014  |  1st Q 2015  |  2nd Q 2015  |  3rd Q 2015
REPUBLICANS  |  DEMOCRATS
Activity Intensifies Over the Summer; Republicans Continue to Dominate
(Sept. 30, 2015) - The 3rd Quarter saw three candidates formally enter the race (Walker, Kasich and Gilmore) and two bow out (Perry and Walker).  Summer was a very busy time for the presidential candidates in the early states.  Overall since Nov. 7, 2012, potential, active and former Republican candidates have spent over a thousand days in these three early states1, or a bit more than four times as many days as the Democrats.  In terms of total number of visits, the Republican three-state tally of 633.5 is 3.64 times that of the 174 visits by Democrats.  For the 3rd Quarter in these three states, 17 major Republicans tallied 217 visits and 413 days compared to 72 visits and 113 days for the five active major Democrats plus potential candidate Biden, who was not active (3.03 times as many visits and 3.65 times as many days).  Republican activists in these states thus have a lot more opportunities to see one of their candidates than do Democrats.
1. Due to limited resources this tally does not include visits to Nevada, but one can still get a sense of the level of traffic. Because Nevada is the third Democratic contest one would expect significantly more Democratic traffic than is going to South Carolina but still far less than Iowa and New Hampshire.

Comparison of Visits and Days by Rep. and Dem. Presidential Candidates to Early States of IA, NH and SC

IA-Visits
 IA-Days
 NH-Visits
 NH-Days
 SC-Visits
 SC-Days
 Total Visits
 Total Days
Republicans
 242.5
 424
 232
 380
 159
 210
 633.5
 1,014
Democrats
 66
 122
 84
 97
 24
 28
 174
 247
Ratio R:D
 3.67
 3.48
 2.76
 3.92
 6.63
 7.5
 3.64
 4.11

REPUBLICANS - 3RD QUARTER 2015
The number of visits and days spent in these three early states by Republican prospects continued to increase.  From the 1st Quarter 2015 to the 2nd Quarter to the 3rd Quarter total visits went from 80 to 176.5 to 217 and days from 124 to 271 to 413.  The most active Republicans in terms of days spent in these three early states in the 3rd Quarter 2015 (July 1- Sept. 30) were Jindal (46 total days), Graham (37 total days) and Fiorina (36 total days).  Doing the least travel to these three states in this period were Gilmore (4 total days), Pataki and Trump (14 total days each) and Cruz (16 total days).

IA-Visits
 IA-Days
 NH-Visits
 NH-Days
 SC-Visits
 SC-Days
 Total Visits
 Total Days
Bush
 4
 7
 9
 14
 4
 6
 17
 27
Carson
 4
 9
 4
 6
 4
 6
 12
 21
Christie 4
 7
 10.5
 23
 2
 3
 16.5
 33
Cruz 5
 8
 1
 2
 5
 6
 11
 16
Fiorina
 5
 14
 5
 17
 3
 5
 13
 36
Gilmore
 -
 -
 2
 3
 1
 1
 3
 4
Graham
 5
 11
 12
 27
 *
 *
 17*
 38*
Huckabee 6.5
 15
 -
 -
 5
 9
 11.5
 24
Jindal 8
 39
 3
 5
 2
 2
 13
 46
Kasich
 4
 4
 9
 16
 4
 4
 17
 24
Pataki 4
 4
 6
 10
 -
 -
 10
 14
Paul
 3
 6
 4
 8
 4
 5
 11
 19
Perry 4
 10
 2
 3
 3
 7
 9
 20
Rubio 5
 10
 3
 4
 4
 6
 12
 20
Santorum 7
 22
 2
 4
 6
 7
 15
 33
Trump
 6
 6
 5
 5
 3
 3
 14
 14
Walker
 6
 12
 4
 7
 5
 6
 15
 25
Total
 80.5
 184
 81.5
 154
 55
 76
 217
 414
Walker did not formally announce until July 13 and Kasich until July 21. 
Perry suspended his campaign on Sept. 11 and Walker suspended his campaign on Sept. 21.
*Graham South Carolina visits not included; under consideration.

IOWA
Republican Visits to Iowa in 3rd Quarter 2015
July
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.

1
4
2
4
3
4
5
6
 7
2
8

9
2
10
11
2
12
2
13
3
14
2
15
2
16
3
17
8
18
10
19
2
20
21

22
23

24
3
25
3
26

27

28
29
30
 31
5
Bush: July 13-14
Carson: July 15-18
Christie: July 24-25, July 31-(Aug. 1)
Cruz: July 6-7, July 17-18
Fiorina: July 22-25
Graham: July 1-2, July 17-18, July 31
Huckabee: (Jun. 30)-July 2, July 17-18, July 30
Jindal: (Jun. 30)-July 4, July 11-13, July 16-21
Kasich: July 24
Paul: July 1-2, July 31-(Aug. 1)
Pataki: July 9
Perry: July 11-14, July 18
Rubio: July 7-9, July 17-18
Santorum: July 15-18, July 31-(Aug. 2)
Trump: July 18, July 25
Walker: July 17-19, July 31

Total: 27.5 visits (66 days)
25 + (5 x .5) visits
August
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S






1
6
2
3
4
5

6

7
8
3
9
3
10
11
2
12
3
13
4
14
3
15
2
16
5
17
7
18
5
19
2
20
21
22
3
23
2
24
2
25
3
26
3
27
3
28
29
30
2
 31
3





Bush: Aug. 1, Aug. 13-14
Carson: Aug. 1, Aug. 7-9, Aug. 16
Christie: (July 31)-Aug. 1, Aug. 22
Cruz: Aug. 21
Fiorina: Aug. 13-14, Aug. 16-17, Aug. 26-29
Graham: Aug. 17-19
Huckabee: Aug. 11-13, Aug. 25-27, Aug. 31(-Sept. 1)
Jindal: Aug. 8-12, Aug. 16-18, Aug. 22-25, Aug. 30(-Sept. 3)
Kasich: Aug. 18
Pataki: Aug. 1, Aug. 16
Paul: (July 31)-Aug. 1
Perry: Aug. 8-9, Aug. 17-19
Rubio: Aug. 17-18
Santorum: (July 31)-Aug. 2, Aug. 12-17, Aug. 22-24, Aug. 30(-Sept.1)
Trump: Aug. 15, Aug. 25
Walker: Aug. 17, Aug. 26-27

Total: 31 visits (72 days)
28 + (6 x .5) visits
September
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.

1
3
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
3
12
4
13
14

15
16
17
18
19
8
20
5
21
2
22
3
23
24
25

26
4
27

28
2
29
2
 30
2



Bush: Sept. 21-22
Christie: Sept. 28-29
Cruz: Sept. 19-20, Sept. 26
Fiorina: Sept. 25-26
Graham: Sept. 18-20
Huckabee: (Aug. 31)-Sept. 1, Sept. 19-20
Jindal: (Aug. 30)-Sept. 3, Sept. 19-22, Sept. 26-(Oct. 1)
Kasich: Sept. 26, Sept. 30
Pataki: Sept. 19
Paul: Sept. 11-12
Rubio: Sept. 11-12, Sept. 24
Santorum: (Aug. 30)-Sept. 1, Sept. 19, Sept. 22-23
Trump: Sept. 12, Sept. 19
Walker: Sept. 11-13, Sept. 19-20

Total: 22 visits (46 days)
20 + (4 x.5) visits


3rd Q 15: 80.5 visits (184 days).
Jindal put by far the most time into Iowa in the 3rd Quarter, 39 days, followed by Santorum at 22 days, Huckabee at 15 and Fiorina at 14  At the other extreme were Kasich and Pataki at 4 days each.

Totals at End of the 3rd Quarter (Sept. 30, 2015)
2013-15
 Bush
 Carson
 Christie
 Cruz
 Fiorina
 Graham
 Huckabee
 Jindal
 Kasich
 Paul
 Perry
 Rubio
 Santorum
 Trump
 Walker
Visits: 242.5
 7
 12
 13
 19
 13
 13
 24
 21.5
 5
 13
 20
 12
 24
 15
 13
Days: 424
 11
 22
 17
 28
 30
 23
 38
 56
 5
 22
 41
 18
 54
 18
 22
Tally includes - Brown: 2 visits, 2 days; Portman 1 visit, 2 days; Ryan 3 visits, 3 days; Bolton 1 visit, 1 day; Pence: 1 visit, 1 day; Palin: 3 visits, 3 days; Gilmore 1 visit, 1 day; Pataki 6 visits, 6 days.
Tally does not include - Mitt Romney 2 visits, 2 days.  Does not include Gov. Scott Walker's non-political trip on Sept. 8, 2014.
___________________________

Republican Visits to New Hampshire in 3rd Quarter 2015
July
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.

1
2
3
3
4
5
5
2
6
4
 7
3
8
3
9

10
2
11
3
12
2
13
14
15
16
4
17
18
19
20
21

22
2
23
2
24
2
25
4
26

27
2
28
29
30
 31
Bush: July 4, July 8, July 22-23
Carson: July 6-8
Christie: (June 30)-July 4, July 16-17, July 27-29
Fiorina: July 6-11
Gilmore: July 11
Graham: July 4, July 10-12, July 15-16, July 25, July 27
Jindal: July 5-7
Kasich: July 12-13, July 21-23, July 31
Pataki: July 5-6, July 24-25
Paul: July 25-26
Perry: July 3-4
Rubio: July 3-4
Santorum: July 24-25
Trump: July 16
Walker: July 16

Total: 25.5 visits (54 days)
August
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S






1
2
3
11
4
3
5

6

7
8
9
10
11
2
12
2
13
2
14
2
15

16

17

18

19
7
20
4
21
3
22
2
23
2
24
2
25
26
27

28
3
29
2
30
 31





Bush: Aug. 3, Aug. 7, Aug. 19-20
Carson: Aug. 3, Aug. 13
Christie: Aug. 3-4, Aug. 19-20, Aug. 24, Aug. 28-29
Cruz: Aug. 30-31
Fiorina: Aug. 3, Aug. 19-23
Graham: Aug. 1, Aug. 3, Aug. 21-24, Aug. 28-29
Jindal: Aug. 3, Aug. 19
Kasich: Aug. 3-4, Aug. 11-12, Aug. 19
Pataki: Aug. 3, Aug. 14-15, Aug. 27-28
Paul: Aug. 11-13
Perry: Aug. 3
Rubio: Aug. 26
Santorum: Aug. 3-4
Trump: Aug. 14, Aug. 19
Walker: Aug. 3, Aug. 19-21

Total: 32 visits (54 days)
September
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.

1
2
2
3
3
3
4
3
5
2
6
3
7
4
 8
3
9
10
11
2
12
5
13
4
14

15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
2
26

27

28

29
30
3



Bush: Sept. 3-4, Sept. 10-11, Sept. 29-30
Carson: Sept. 30
Christie: Sept. 3-4, Sept. 8, Sept. 13-14, Sept. 25-26
Fiorina: Sept. 5-7, Sept. 12-13
Gilmore: Sept. 12-13
Graham: Sept. 2-7, Sept. 11-13, Sept. 22-23
Kasich: Sept. 1-2, Sept. 7-8, Sept. 12
Pataki: Sept. 12
Paul: Sept. 1-2, Sept. 25
Rubio: Sept. 8
Trump: Sept. 17, Sept. 30
Walker: Sept. 6-7

Total: 24 visits (46 days)
3rd Q 15: 81.5 visits (154 days).
Graham (26 days) and Christie (23 days) put the most time into New Hampshire in the 3rd Quarter.  At the other extreme were Huckabee with no visits and Cruz (1 visit, 2 days).

Totals at End of the 3rd Quarter (Sept. 30, 2015)
2013-15
 Bush
 Carson
 Christie
 Cruz
 Fiorina
 Graham
 Huckabee
 Jindal
 Kasich
Visits: 232
 14
 7
 25
 9
 17
 19
 4
 10
 14
Days: 380
 22
 10
 43
 16
 37
 39
 4
 13
 23

Pataki
 Paul
 Perry
 Rubio
 Santorum
 Trump
 Walker
 Gilmore

18
 14
 9
 9
 4
 13
 7
 11

35
 24
 16
 11
 6
 13
 13
 20
Tally includes -  Portman 3 visits, 4 days; Huntsman 1 visit, 1 day; Ryan 1 visit, 1 day; Pence 1 visit, 1 day; Bolton (to 5/14/15) 4 visits, 6 days; King 9 visits, 11 days; Ehrlich 9 visits, 11 days (to end of May 2015).  Note King reported 12 visits, sought clarification repeatedly but they were very unresponsive.
Not included in tally: Scarborough 2 visits, 3 days.  Romney 2 visits, 2 days.
___________________________
Republican Visits to South Carolina in 3rd Quarter 2015
July
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.

1
2
3
4
2
5
6
 7
8

9

10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
2
21
3
22
23
24
2
25

26

27
2
28
2
29
30
 31
Bush: July 21-22
Carson: July 1-2
Christie: July 20-21
Cruz: July 4
Huckabee: July 6-7, July 19-20
Kasich: July 8, July 24
Paul: July 27
Perry: July 23-24
Rubio: July 27-28
Santorum: July 4, July 28
Walker: July 15
Trump: July 21

Total: 15 visits (22 days)
August
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S






1
2
3
4
5

6

7
3
8
2
9
2
10
11
12
13
14
15

16

17
2
18

19
20
21
22
23
24
3
25
26
27
3
28
4
29
2
30
 31





Bush: Aug. 17-18
Carson: Aug. 23-24
Cruz: Aug. 7, Aug. 24, Aug. 28-29
Fiorina: Aug. 9
Huckabee: Aug. 7
Jindal: Aug. 20
Kasich: Aug. 17
Paul: Aug. 7-8
Perry: Aug. 13-14, Aug. 27-29
Rubio: Aug. 27-28
Walker: Aug. 8-9, Aug. 24, Aug. 28
Trump: Aug. 27

Total: 17 visits (26 days)

[Graham: Aug. 10-12]
September
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.

1

2
2
3
4
5
6
7
2
 8
9
10
11

12

13
14

15
16
17
18
10
19
20
21
22
2
23
4
24
2
25

26

27

28

29
30



Bush: Sept. 18, Sept. 24
Carson: Sept. 12, Sept. 18
Christie: Sept. 18
Cruz: Sept. 18
Fiorina: Sept. 18, Sept. 22-24
Gilmore: Sept. 28
Huckabee: Sept. 2-3, Sept. 22-23
Jindal: Sept. 18
Kasich: Sept. 25
Paul: Sept. 18, Sept. 23
Rubio: Sept. 7, Sept. 18
Santorum: Sept. 2, Sept. 6-7, Sept. 18, Sept. 26
Trump: Sept. 23
Walker: Sept. 18

Total: 23 visits (28 days)

[Graham: Sept. 1, Sept. 25, Sept. 27-28]
3rd Q 15: 55 visits (76 days).
Huckabee put the most time into South Carolina in the 3rd Quarter, doing events on nine days.  Many of the candidates settled in around four visits, six days.

Totals at End of the 3rd Quarter (Sept. 30, 2015)
2013-15
 Bush
 Carson
 Christie
 Cruz
 Fiorina
 Huckabee
 Jindal
 Kasich
 Paul
 Perry
 Rubio
 Santorum
 Trump
 Walker
Visits: 159
 9
 10
 6
 15
 7
 15
 9
 8
 13
 14
 9
 22
 8
 8
Days: 210
 12
 15
 8
 19
 9
 21
 11
 10
 16
 26
 11
 27
 8
 10
Tally includes: Huntsman 1 visit, 1 day; ; Bolton 2 visits, 2 days. Pataki 2 visits, 3 days.  Gilmore 1 visit, 1 day.
Tally shows total visits with public events for 2013-15.  Graham, being from SC, is not included in the tally.  Private visits are not included in the tally.  Santorum, who has two sons at The Citadel, visits the state fairly frequently.  Rubio made a non-public visit on July 20, 2014.  Jeb Bush's May 2013 visit for a closed meeting not included.
DEMOCRATS - 3RD QUARTER 2015
The three leading candidates, Clinton, Sanders and O'Malley have done similar amounts to travel to these three early states, with O'Malley doing a bit more.  Travel to the three states by all major Democrats increased from 44 visits and 64 days in the 2nd Quarter to 72 visits and 113 days in the 3rd Quarter (increases of 45-percent and 77-percent).  South Carolina is receiving neglible traffic.  Chafee's New Hampshire focus is skewing those numbers; he accounted for 55-percent of visits in the quarter.

 IA-Visits
 IA-Days
 NH-Visits
 NH-Days
 SC-Visits
 SC-Days
 Total Visits
 Total Days
Biden -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
Chafee
 4
 9
 20
 20
 -
 -
 24
 29
Clinton
 8
 12
 6
 10
 1
 1
 15
 23
O'Malley 9
 22
 5
 7
 1
 1
 15
 30
Sanders 7
 14
 5
 8
 2
 3
 14
 25
Webb
 4
 6
 -
 -
 -
 -
 4
 6
Total
 32
 63
 36
 45
 4
 5
 72
 113
Lessig not included; under consideration.

Democratic Visits to Iowa in 3rd Quarter 2015
July
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.

1
2
2
3
2
4
2
5
6
 7
8

9

10
11
12
13
14
15
16
2
17
5
18
19
20
21

22
23
24
2
25
2
26

27

28
29
30
 31
Chafee: July 15-18
Clinton: July 7, July 17, July 25-27
O'Malley: July 2-4, July 16-17, July 24-25
Sanders: July 2-4, July 17, July 24
Webb: July 17

Total: 11 visits (22 days)
August
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S






1
2
3
4
5

6
4
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
2
14
4
15
4
16

17

18

19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27

28
29
2
30
2
 31





Chafee: Aug. 6, Aug. 14-15, Aug. 29-30
Clinton: Aug. 14-15, Aug. 26
O'Malley: Aug. 5-7, Aug. 13-15, Aug. 22-23, Aug. 29-30
Sanders: Aug. 6, Aug. 14-16
Webb: Aug. 6, Aug. 12-13

Total: 13 visits (25 days).
September
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.

1

2
3
4
5
2
6
2
7
2
 8
9
10
11

12

13
14

15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

26
2
27
2
28

29
30



Clinton: Sept. 6-7, Sept. 14, Sept. 22
O'Malley: Sept. 5-7, Sept. 26-27
Sanders: Sept. 3-5, Sept. 26-27
Webb: Sept. 19-20

Total: 8 visits (16 days).


3rd Q 15: 32 visits (63 days).
O'Malley put the most time in Iowa in the 3rd Quarter, 22 days compared to 14 for Sanders and 12 for Clinton.

Totals at End of the 3rd Quarter (Sept. 30, 2015)
2013-15
 Biden
 Chafee
 Clinton
 O'Malley
 Sanders
 Webb
Visits: 66
 4
 4
 13
 18
 14
 10
Days: 122
 4
 9
 21
 36
 32
 20
Tally includes: Dean 1 visit 1 day; Klobuchar 3 visits 4 days; Schweitzer 1 visit 1 day.
___________________________

NEW HAMPSHIRE
Democratic Visits to New Hampshire in 3rd Quarter 2015
July
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.

1
2
3
4
2
5
6
 7
8

9

10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21

22
23
24

25

26

27

28
29
30
 31
Chafee: July 4, July 10, July 12, July 25, July 30
Clinton: July 3-4, July 16, July 28
O'Malley: July 8, July 26-27
Sanders: none
Webb: none

Total: 10 visits (12 days)
August
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S






1
2
3
4
5

6

7
8
9
10
2
11
12
13
14
15

16

17

18

19
20
21
22
23
2
24
2
25
26
27

28
29
30
 31





Chafee: Aug. 9, Aug. 10, Aug. 18, Aug. 23, Aug. 24
Clinton: Aug. 10-11
O'Malley: Aug. 26-27
Sanders: Aug. 1-2, Aug. 23-24
Webb: none

Total: 9 visits (13 days).
September
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.

1

2
3
4
5
6
7
2
 8
9
10
11

12

13
14

15
16
17
18
19
4
20
21
22
23
24
25

26

27

28

29
30



Chafee: Sept. 2, Sept. 7, Sept. 9, Sept. 10, Sept. 12, Sept. 14, Sept. 15, Sept. 19, Sept. 24, Sept. 26
Clinton: Sept. 5, Sept. 17-19
O'Malley: Sept. 4, Sept. 19
Sanders: Sept. 7, Sept. 19-20, Sept. 25
Webb: none

 Total: 17 visits (20 days).
Lessig not included Sept. 2, Sept. 9, Sept. 17, Sept. 19, Sept. 26
3rd Q 15: 36 visits (45 days).
Chafee accounts for more than half of all visits in the quarter (20 of 36).

Totals at End of the 3rd Quarter (Sept. 30, 2015)
2013-15
 Biden
 Chafee
 Clinton
 O'Malley
 Sanders
 Webb
Visits: 84
 3
 32
 10
 15
 19
 2
Days: 97
 3
 32
 15
 18
 23
 3
includes: Dean 2 visits, 2 days; Klobuchar 1 visit, 1 day.
___________________________

Democratic Visits to South Carolina in 3rd Quarter 2015
July
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.

1
2
3
4
5
6
 7
8

9

10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21

22
23
24

25

26

27

28
29
30
 31
Clinton: July 23

Total: 1 visits (1 day)
August
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S






1
2
3
4
5

6

7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

16

17

18

19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27

28
29
30
 31





O'Malley: Aug. 4
Sanders: Aug. 21-22

Total: 2 visits (3 days).
September
S
M
T
W
T 
F
S
.

1

2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11

12

13
14

15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

26

27

28

29
30



Sanders: Sept. 12

Total:1 visits (1 day).


3rd Q 15: 4 visits (5 days).
South Carolina is seeing very little Democratic traffic.

Totals at End of the 3rd Quarter (Sept. 30, 2015)
2013-15
 Biden
 Chafee
 Clinton
 O'Malley
 Sanders
 Webb
Visits: 24
 5
 1
 3
 7
 6
 2
Days: 28
 5
 2
 3
 7
 9
 2
includes: Dean 1 visit 1 day; Klobuchar 3 visits 4 days; Schweitzer 1 visit 1 day

  this page last revised Nov. 28, 2015
  
    
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